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Showing posts from February, 2023

Pre - Market Analysis (28th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are flat. 3. SGX Nifty is as flat as it can be. 4. So we are likely to have a flat opening today. 5. Yesterday all the U.S indices were up more than a percent in the first half. 6. It looked like the momentum would continue. 7. In the 2nd half there was selling from top. 8. They closed with minor gains yesterday.  9. Yesterday was a strange and surprising price action in our Markets 10. I'm saying this because there was a huge divergence between nifty and bank nifty. 11. Nifty was down about a percent yesterday and Bank nifty closed higher by 300+ points. 12. The general trend since a couple of months was to sell Banks and Buy IT 13. Yesterday was a reversal of the same. 14. Buying was witnessed across Banks. 15. IT Stocks on the other hand , saw a massive sell off. 16. Markets look very weak.  17. Nifty is witnessing huge selling pressure. 18. Pullbacks are also quite mild now. 19. Yesterday the Budget

Pre - Market Analysis (27th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets crashed on Friday. 2. Right now , U.S Futures are flat. 3. SGX Nifty is down 50-70 Points. 4. As per SGX , it's likely to be a gap down opening today. 5. Usually in Bear markets , gap up gets sold into aggressively.  6. Also this is a minor gap down. 7. So there must be some recovery after follow on selling. 8. 2 important levels to watch out for today specially on Nifty. 9. 17350 and 17600 10. 17350 is the budget day low. 11. It's very important that if momentum has to kick in this level gets held. 12. It's this gets taken out we would head towards 17k. 13. 17600 is a resistance zone. 14. So risk reward favours shorting here. 15. Markets have become very weak now. 16. There's absolutely no strength at all. 17. We are down for 8 consecutive trading sessions. 18. FII's have become highly bearish now.  19. I'm bearish now for short term. 20. Nifty might trade between 17350 to 17600 today. 21. stockmarketadvisory.in

Pre - Market Analysis (24th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are lower. 3. SGX Nifty is up 50-70 Points. 4. As per SGX , it's likely to be a gap up opening today. 5. Usually in Bear markets , gap up gets sold into aggressively.  6. Also this is a minor gap up. 7. World Markets have become highly Volatile now. 8. Reason is the U.S Markets. 9. Volatility is at its peak in the U.S Markets. 10. Yesterday it went all over the places to close higher finally. 11. Yesterday even though Markets closed flat , the declining stocks were more than advances. 12. This has now become a very narrow market. 13. Reminds me of 2018-2019. 14. Where huge money would be chasing few names. 15. Rest of the stocks would keep Going lower. 16. This will be a very very difficult Market is you are not into the right stocks. 17. This period arrives once in 4 years. 18. Market has now clearly become a sell on rally Market. 19. Market texture is very very weak. 20. Nifty might trade between 1745

Pre - Market Analysis (23rd Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed mixed yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are higher. 3. SGX Nifty is up 50-70 Points. 4. As per SGX , it's likely to be a gap up opening today. 5. Usually in Bear markets , gap up gets sold into aggressively.  6. Also this is a minor gap up. 7. So expect yesterday's low to be tested at least once during the day. 8. Yesterday's low is a short term support to work with now. 9. Next support after 17500 is at 17350. 10. This was the budget day low and also 200 DMA. 11. After 17350 there's no support all the way 17000. 12. First resistance at 17750. 13. 17900 and 18100. 14. These are the important levels to work with. 15. Yesterday's fall was majorly due to the Adani Saga. 16. There was no surprise from FED yesterday.  17. They have hiked the interest rate as per expectation.  18. Plus they have indicated that there would be 3-4 rate hikes in the future as well. 19. Unless these Adani stocks bottom out , our market isn't going to

Pre - Market Analysis (22nd Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets crashed yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are trading higher. 3. Asian markets are lower. 4. SGX Nifty is down 100 points. 5. There was a huge selling pressure across Indian Markets as well as Global markets. 6. From last 3 days , markets have been making lower lows. 7. Last 3 trading sessions , we have been making new lows in the market. 8. Today we are likely to open at a major support level. 9. 17750 is a major support and we are likely to open there. 10. Our Markets are already very weak from last 3 days. 11. Then this Global fall will cause further fall. 12. U.S Markets crashed yesterday because of rising interest rates. 13. We will be having FED meeting today. 14. According to my understanding, a 25 basis point hike is factored in  based on yesterday's fall. 15. If FED goes for 50 basis point hike then we might have further fall. 16. Else, we are likely to stabilize from here. 17. Huge gap downs are opportunities to go long near support levels.

Pre - Market Analysis (21st Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets were shut Yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are trading lower. 3. Asian markets are lower. 4. SGX Nifty is flat. 5. There was a huge selling pressure across both the indices Yesterday as well. 6. Nifty closed at the lowest point of the day. 7. Yesterday we had mentioned that 18000 CE has the highest open interest for current expiry. 8. Nifty turned from 18000 levels itself. 9. Market texture has turned highly bearish now. 10. 17900 CE also added huge open interest yesterday.  11. Bank Nifty is looking much more weaker than Nifty.  12. 17750 is the immediate support now. 13. Once this is taken out we would be heading towards budget day low. 14. There might be some pull back rallies in between. 15. These rallies would be eventually sold into  16. Unless there's some positive news and shorts are trapped we can't expect a closing above 18k. 17. While all the other markets are higher by 2-4% in Feb. 18. We are still negative . 19. This is majorly due

Pre - Market Analysis (20th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed mixed on Friday.  2. Right now , all the U.S Futures are trading mixed. 3. Asian markets are lower. 4. SGX Nifty is up 30-40 Points. 5. There was a huge selling pressure across both the indices on Friday. 6. Nifty closed almost at the lowest point of the day. 7. The important level to watch here is 17900 on Nifty. 8. Just a few days ago Nifty crossed 17900 and made a high of 18150. 9. Now it's back again to the same level. 10. If 17900 is broken then 17750 opens up. 11. There has been developments in the Adani debate. 12. George Soros has attached India and the Adanis in an war of Words. 13. George Soros is considered to the best trader alive in the world right now. 14. He is known for this high conviction bets with full leverage. 15. He has known as a person who broke bank of England and made a Billion Dollar of profits just on a single day. 16. As Soros is close to FII's there must be a selling pressure from FII's. 17. FII's sold for

Pre - Market Analysis (17th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets crashed yesterday.  2. Right now , all the U.S Futures are trading lower. 3. Asian markets are lower. 4. Yesterday was greenary all over the screen , today is bloodbath all over the screen. 5. SGX Nifty is down 70-80 Points. 6. Yesterday markets opened with a huge gap up. 7. In the first half there was momentum on the upside. 8. In the second half Markets witnessed selling pressure.  9. Today we are likely to open below 18k. 10. Yesterday Both the FII's and DII's were net buyers for more than 3000 crores. 11. We have a Bullish tone now in the markets. 12. Yesterday the Inflation numbers were announced in U.S 13. The numbers were worse than expected and hence the markets crashed. 14. U.S VIX shot up 10% yesterday.  15. This indicates an increased fear in the market participants.  16. I would not like to carry Positions today as I would like to watch U.S Markets reaction for today as well. 17. The event day price movement cannot be used to form a conclu

Pre - Market Analysis (16th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher Yesterday. 2. Right now , all the U.S Futures are trading higher. 3. Asian markets are higher. 4. So it's greenary all over the screen. 5. SGX Nifty is up 40-50 Points. 6. Yesterday it was a surprising day once again. 7. I gave a range of 17800 to 18000 for yesterday.  8. Nifty did trade exactly within that band. 9. Last 30 minutes nifty broke out of 18k. 10. 18000 CE had huge open interest yesterday.  11. All these Call writers met with trouble yesterday.  12. Finally markets have broken out so the next logical target would be 18200. 13. The range has now shifted from 18000 to 18200. 14. 41800 is a resistance for Bank Nifty.  15. Once this is taken out then we would see 42500 for Bank Nifty.  16. Markets are finally looking Bullish after a long time. 17. Markets have been rising slow and steady. 18. It's not like a one way rally towards 18200. 19. Markets will test your patience , make you lose hope and when you finally lose hope it wil

Pre - Market Analysis (15th Feb 2023)

stockmarketadvisory.in 1. U.S Markets closed mixed Yesterday. 2. Dow Jones closed lower , S&P 500 closed flat whereas Nasdaq closed higher. 3. Right now , all the U.S Futures are trading lower. 4. Asian markets are lower. 5. SGX Nifty is down 80-100 Points. 6. Yesterday it was a surprising day. 7. Markets opened higher , tested 17800 and started moving higher. 8. It was a smooth ride towards the top and was a trending day. 9. I didn't expect markets to cross 17900 Yesterday.  10. Markets are a place of surprises and the short covering led to crossover of 17900 as well. 11. There was huge Call writing at 17850 , 17900 , 17950 & 18000 Call Options Yesterday.  12. All these Call writers got afraid , booked losses and had to run for cover Yesterday.  13. They had squared up all the Call Options and started to sell Put options. 14. Now , 17900 PE , 17850 PE & 17800 PE particularly have huge open interest addition. 15. With this gap up these put writers will panic

Pre - Market Analysis (14th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher Yesterday. 2. All the Indices closed a percent higher. 3. Asian Markets are mixed. 4. SGX Nifty is up 20-30 Points. 5. Yesterday as soon as the Markets opened the selling began. 6. Nifty broke the support of 17800 and the selling accelerated. 7. It tried to recliam 17800 twice during the day. 8. Ultimately closed lower. 9. Later in evening news came out regarding Inflation numbers. 10. Inflation numbers came higher than expected for January.  11. Retail Inflation came at 6.4% vs 5.8% (Expected) 12. From last 5 trading sessions, Nifty has been trading in the range of 17700-17900. 13. We are in a ranging market. 14. In Ranging markets , risk-reward favours in buying the collapses and selling the rallies. 15. Look to buy near 17700 with a 50 point stop for targets of 17800 & 17900. 16. Look to sell near 17900 with a 50 point stop for targets of 17800 & 17700. 17. Expect this range to continue for a while now unless we have any fresh trigger

Pre - Market Analysis (13th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher on Friday. 2. Right now , U.S Futures are lower. 3. There has been some news that U.S army has shot down fighter planes near Canadian Border. 4. Due to this U.S Futures are reacting a bit negative. 5. Asian Markets are mixed. 6. SGX Nifty is down 20-30 Points. 7. These have been very lacklustere Markets after the budget. 8. January started With Volatility then Markets became rangebound. 9. During Budget day , markets made a bigger move. 10. Since then , it's been very very flat. 11. Baser on my Experience, I've seen that first few months of price action decides  rest of the year. 12. This year now is expected to be very timid. 13. You can't expect big trending moves for this trading year. 14. Thus year will text your patience. 15. Won't let you capture big moves. 16. If you enter into a trade and wait for a large move then you are likely to be trapped. 17. 2020 , the Markets were trending. 18. 2021 also they were trending. 19. 20

The Greatest Trader who ever lived : JESSE LIVERMORE?

Seventy one years ago, on Thursday, November 28, 1940, Jesse Lauriston Livermore, entered the Sherry Netherland Hotel where he took a seat near the bar and enjoyed a couple of old-fashioned. After an hour Jesse Livermore got up and went in the cloakroom, seated himself on a stool, and then shot himself in the head with a .32 Colt automatic. How could the man who is still regarded by many as the greatest trader who ever lived go out this way by taking his own life? It just doesn’t match the rest of his life. In his youth Jesse was know as the “Boy Plunger” because he looked younger than his years and he would take big positions when he traded against the bucket shops of his day. The bucket shops let traders bet on a stock price, but no trade was executed, the house covered if you were right. How good was he? He was banned from the bucket shops one by one, it was like getting kicked out of a casino because you beat the house so badly with outsized gains. He went on to trade i

Pre - Market Analysis (10th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets at one point of time were higher by a percent yesterday.  2. Gradually , the Markets started to fall and profit booking was witnessed. 3. Eventually they closed lower. 4. Right now , U.S Futures are flat. 5. Asian markets are mixed. 6. SGX Nifty is down 100 Points. 7. Markets for the Month of February have been trading in a zig-zag phase. 8. I do not remember two straight trading sessions where the markets have made a trending move. 9. These are lacklustere Markets. 10. One day up next day down and on closing basis not going anywhere. 11. Adani issue and news flow continue to emerge. 12. The stocks of these group are totally in the operators hands now. 13. Some or the other news flow is effecting the daily movements of the stock. 14. Yesterday's low of 17800 should be the first support for the day. 15. Yesterday's dip was bought into aggressively and markets closed at the highest point of the day  16. Gradually , the Markets are inching higher. 17. Un

Pre - Market Analysis (9th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed lower Yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are higher. 3. Asian markets are higher. 4. SGX Nifty is flat. 5. Yesterday there was a RBI policy. 6. The Commentary given by the RBI was liked to by the markets. 7. RBI did everything as per the market expectations.  8. They increased rates by 25 basis points. 9. Also they said that the worst of Inflation is behind us. 10. This was taken as a positive trigger by the markets and we closed at the highest point of the day yesterday.  11. Yesterday we closed above most important resistance level of 17850. 12. This indicates a positive momentum in the markets. 13. Markets have been consolidating for quite some time now 14. The Adani issue seems to be settling down. 15. This is a positive sign for the markets. 16. Yesterday Nifty outperformed bank nifty. 17. Specially the IT stocks have come out of their shell. 18. Value buying is being witnessed in the IT sector. 19. Next resistance for nifty is 18000 now. 20.

Pre - Market Analysis (8th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher Yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are flat. 3. Asian markets are higher. 4. SGX Nifty is up 60-70 Points. 5. Yesterday there was a FED policy in the U.S 6. The Commentary given by the Fed chairman was liked to by the markets. 7. Fed Chairman said that the Inflation is going down  8. He also hinted that the interest rates may continue to increase. 9. Reduction of Inflation is a positive news for the markets. 10. As the Inflation keeps coming down , FED may at one point of time stop hiking rates as well. 11. Today we also have the RBI Policy. 12. Generally all the Central Banks follow each other related to their outlook. 13. RBI is expected to increase the rates by 25 basis points. 14. 17800 , 17900 & 18000 CE all have a huge open interest for this expiry. 15. Yesterday the FII's have sold for more than 2600 crores. 16. FII's again keep selling and DII's again keep supporting the markets. 17. Bank Nifty was the outperformed Ye

Pre - Market Analysis (7th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed lower Yesterday.  2. Right now , U.S Futures are higher. 3. Asian markets are higher. 4. SGX Nifty is up 80-100 Points. 5. Jobs data were announced in U.S and more than expected jobs were created. 6. This led to a positive sentiment in the Global Markets. 7. Right now , the Markets have been trading in a narrow range. 8. Budget was good but the Adani fiasco halted the momentum. 9. Adani stocks haven't bottomed out yet. 10. Expect more correction in those stocks before they bottom out. 11. Don't chase falling knives. 12. These can keep on falling to drastic levels. 13. Similarly, on the index point of view. 14. I do not expect much downside from here on. 15. 17350 is a strong base for Nifty. 16. 17850 is the resistance for nifty.  17. We are likely to open right near the resistance zone today. 18. As per what SGX Nifty is suggesting, so I would wait for first 15 minutes and see whether Morning high is being taken out. 19. If it's taken out t

Pre - Market Analysis (6th Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed lower on Friday. 2. Right now , U.S Futures are lower. 3. Asian markets are lower. 4. SGX Nifty is down 20-30 Points. 5. Friday it was a turnaround session for the markets. 6. Markets were crashing throughout the week due to Adani fiasco  7. On Friday there was some positive news about Adani Bonds by a credit rating agency named Moodys. 8. This led to Positive sentiment in the stock  9. Leading to a large rally in the markets. 10. Also as people have shorted and sold heavily for whole of the week. 11. The Positions when squared up lead to a short covering rally. 12. As traders do not like to carry trades over the weekend. 13. 90% of all the worst has happened over Adani group stocks  14. I do not think there could be any more worse than this that could've happened. 15. There was a valuation overhang which got corrected. 16. These stocks also have an overall impact on the market sentiment. 17. So discussing about them would help us to Guage overall

Pre - Market Analysis (3rd Feb 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher Yesterday. 2. Right now , U.S Futures are lower. 3. Asian markets are higher. 4. SGX Nifty is up 50-60 Points. 5. Yesterday it was a Volatile intraday trading session. 6. Markets have been trading with huge Volatility for last couple of days  7. Eventually closing flat. 8. Markets are consolidating but with severe Volatility and swings. 9. Apple has announced their results and the stock is down 3% Pre Market. 10. Due to which the Nasdaq futures have been trading lower. 11. Adani group stocks have lost more than 10 lakh crores of market Cap since the Hindenberg report. 12. I always felt Adani stocks were highly overvalued. 13. I used to caution as well to stay away from buying these stocks. 14. Now , I advice to stay away as well. 15. These are falling knives. 16. Retailers see that the stock is available at 40% of what it used to be and they buy. 17. The stock could easily half from here. 18. There are many other pockets where you can apply your

Pre - Market Analysis (2nd Feb 2022)

1 U.S Markets closed lower Yesterday. 2. Right now , dow futures are lower. 3. Asian markets are mixed. 4. SGX Nifty is down 150 Points. 5. Yesterday was the Fed event in U.S 6. It was expected that they would raise rates by 25 basis points. 7. The same happened yesterday and in spite of that Markets crashed yesterday.  8. Yesterday was a highly Volatile day. 9. Markets were all over the place yesterday.  10. Before the budget , markets were higher. 11. During the budget , markets were flat. 12. After 1 pm markets were at the peak of Volatility.  13. Bank Nifty was down 1000 points by 2.45 pm. 14. In next 30 minutes it recovered all of its losses. 15. The budget was neither good nor bad. 16. The income tax slabs have been revised but also the insurance benefit has gone. 17. All the Insurance companies crashed yesterday.  18. This is a structural change coming out of budget now. 19. Adani stocks crashed yesterday.  20. So clearly there was valuation over hang which is gettin