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U.S Markets closed higher on Friday. Right now Dow futures are crashing. SGX Nifty on Friday was up 300 points. Right now it's down 400 points. Worrying sign is India VIX above 30. This war news doesn't seem to end soon and this is causing lot of jitterness globally. Reports have been out suggesting Ukraine isn't ready to talk and keep down their arms. This has triggered another negative sentiment globally. Until and unless this war settles , markets would be reacting on every headline news. This would increase the Volatility manifold and would further create problems to trade. The best suggestion as of now is to stay away from Market for a while. Let this Volatility settle , let the Market settle and then you can always trade. As nobody knows what news could pop out and make markets even more reactive. Tomorrow we have a trading Holiday and it's advisable not to carry positions over the day. If you are trading it's better to settle Positions Intraday on

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Right now Dow futures are lower. Asian markets are mostly higher. SGX Nifty is near 16500. Suggesting a big gap up for the day. Well yesterday was a Bloodbath in all World markets. Russia started to attack Ukraine yesterday and there was a possibility of a war. Market feared this and we had a big gap down. All the expiry put writers got brutally trapped plus all the monthly F&O longs got trapped as well. They had to cut their positions at levels being offered and this let the Market breakdown further. Yesterday Nasdaq was down.3.5% when our Market was trading. From there we had a dramatic recovery of 7% and it closed 3% higher. This is because Biden has announced Sanctions against Russia. He has left Oil and Natural Gas in the sanctions. This led to a steep decline in commodity prices and triggered a large short covering. Yesterday india VIX crossed 30. It closed above 30 decisively. VIX crossing 30 indicates huge Volatility and it b

U.S Markets closed lower yesterday. Right now Dow futures are lower. Asian markets are mostly lower  SGX Nifty is near 16700. Suggesting a big gap down for the day. Today we are about to open below 200 DMA of 16850 on Nifty. 16800-16850 is the 200 DMA which has been acting as support since many trading sessions. Today is monthly expiry and we are straight away opening below 200 DMA. Russia is about to fully invade Ukraine and this has led to collapse in Global Markets  This is effecting us as well. Yesterday was a very rangebound session between 17100 to 17200. In last 30 mins Nifty broke 17100 and closed at lowest point of the day. Later the overnight selling caused big gap down for the day. Todays first hour low would be important. If we break first hour low then 16400 is on the cards Next support is at 16400 only. Once we sustain below 16800. Downside expansion has begun and where would it stop is difficult to say. As of now 16400 is the coming support and things could g

U.S Markets closed lower yesterday. Right now Dow futures are higher. Asian markets are mostly higher. SGX Nifty is near 17200. Suggesting a positive start for the day. Yesterday I had mentioned that Russia invading 100% of Ukraine is less likely  The way Putin is announcing in Public and sending troops shows that he just wants sanctions  War is done secretively and not by announcing it to the World. 16850 was tested yet again yesterday and yet again Market found support from there  Now I feel this level won't be broken unless we get some other negative news out of the blue. Broader Market seems to be collapsing. Midcaps , small caps plus most of the large caps are down from their highs significantly. Has everything turned positive and we March on from here? I don't think so. Still we have many major issues wrt. LIC IPO , inflation and Fed policy Right now market is hugely volatile and trading within a range of 16850 to 17350. 16850 is 200 DMA and 17350 is 20 DMA. E

U.S Markets were closed Yesterday Right now Dow futures are Lower. Asian markets are mostly lower. SGX Nifty is near 17000. Suggesting a big gap down start for the day. This is due to the ongoing uncertainty around Russia - Ukraine war. Markets can handle good news , markets can handle bad news , but Markets cannot handle uncertainty. In Uncertain times , the worst gets discounted in the Markets. Later when the uncertainty is out Market rallies once again. Another disturbing thing is the India VIX going up almost everyday from last 3 days. Without any corresponding bad news india VIX going higher is a worrying sign. Yesterday VIX closed at 23. Today we might close near 24 as we are already expecting huge gap down open. 17000-17050 is the first support area for the day. Once this gets taken out the support emerges at 16850 -16800 area. 17500 has the highest open interest among calls. One can try a long trade near 17000-17050 with a stoploss near 16950. This a very good risk

U.S Markets closed lower on Friday. Right now Dow futures are higher. Asian markets are mostly lower. SGX Nifty is near 17260. Suggesting a flat start for the day. This Russia - Ukraine issue seems to be blown out of proportion. Markets are reacting to every headline news and that's not at all a good sign. Slowly we would be forgetting these temporary issues and Market would focus on larger issues. 17000 PE & 17500 CE has highest open interest. Next 4 days expect the Volatility to be high. LIC IPO date has been set to 11th March and even without listing details the Grey Market Premium is lower. The timing of this IPO is totally wrong in my opinion. The Market I sense is narrowing on the upside and soon downside range could expand. We went to 18600 in October , never again we tested it. Next high was 18300 , then 17800 etc so the upper levels are reducing. Whereas on the lower side we have tested 16800 multiple times. So this continues to be sell on rally Market but

U.S Markets closed flat yesterday. Right now Dow futures are slightly lower. Asian markets are slightly higher. SGX Nifty is near 17380. Suggesting a flat start for the day. Yesterday was a heavy Volatile session. Markets have moved all over the place yesterday. At one point of time Nifty rallied and at one point of time we were ready to cross 17500. Then news of Russia came that Russia has not fully taken back their military troops. This led to a drastic fall in the last 2 hours. Nifty crashed all the way to 17300. India VIX came to positive. U.S Markets at one point of time were down quite significantly yesterday. But later during the day they have recovered most of their losses. Most importantly , U.S VIX fell 5% yesterday. Here as well we can hope markets to stabilize and VIX to collapse. Premiums are quite attractive considering only 6.days left for expiry  1000 points away put options are also trading at 20-25 rs premium. These put option buyers you know are crazy peo

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Right now Dow futures are slightly lower. Asian markets are slightly higher. SGX Nifty is near 17400. Suggesting a slightly positive opening for today  Yesterday was a pleasant surprise for many. Yesterday I advised to short with a stoploss of 17050. The short trade worked well in first half. In second half Market started to rally and later we got to know that Russia troops have gone back. The War fears have been escalating over past many days. Yesterday's news was a relief and as soon as 17100 was crossed there was a huge short covering. The short covering was so huge that Market rallied 250 points in 2 hours. So one more time 16800 is successfully handled by the Bulls  Has everything turned positive yesterday? The answer is NO. Yesterday can be termed as a relief rally and markets could go further to 17600 as well. Larger problems like Rate hikes , Inflation and FII selling still remain. 16800 to 17800 is the range in which Markets

U.S Markets closed lower yesterday. Right now Dow futures are slightly higher  Asian markets are higher. SGX Nifty is near 16950. Suggesting a slightly positive opening for today  Yesterday was a bloodbath all over Dalal Street. Nifty fell 3% , Bank Nifty 4% and almost all the stocks closed in Red  Only TCS was positive yesterday in Nifty 50 rest all closed in Red. 17050 was this month's low and that got breached and we closed below the same. This indicates further weakness in the Market. We did halt yesterday at 16800 near 200 DMA yesterday but I feel it's a matter of time before we break it and test 16400. Markets have made a vertical rally last year so the fall now will also be vertical. My view would go wrong only if we get a closing above 17100 on Nifty. Until then sell on rally view remains. Banks supported the Market all along but now fresh downside expansion has started there as well. Big players are dumping stocks to retailers considering exuberance in the

U.S Markets crashed yet again on Friday. Right now Dow futures are flat Asian markets are lower. SGX Nifty is near 17100. Suggesting a big gap down opening for today  There is a rally of news flow over the weekend. All of them are negative. Firstly , Ukraine & Russia war going on. It seems likely that Russia will invade Ukraine by this week. This has made Crude oil cross 95$/ barrell. We are the highest Importers of Crude Oil and this will effect us badly. Secondly , ABG Shipyard scam news broke over the weekend and there have been lots of questions on the same. ABG shipyard is not a new thing. This was in development since last 3 years. Many major banks have already recovered some dues from it. This could cause a sentimental impact to Bank Nifty but I do not see any longer term impact of the same. Thirdly , U.S Inflation and Interest rate hike plus Indian inflation and rate hike. This will be having a long term effect on Market and upto March end I don't see Market

U.S Markets crashed Yesterday. Right now Dow futures are lower. Asian markets are lower. SGX Nifty is near 17430. Suggesting a big gap down opening for today  U.S Markets were highly volatile yesterday. It opened 2% gap down then within 1 hour it came into green. Last hour again selling accentuated and closed at the lowest point of the day. Yesterday RBI kept a very dovish commentary. This induced a huge short covering Intraday. We almost closed at the highest point of the day yesterday. Just after Market closing , this Inflation data triggered huge sell off  Expectation was 7.2% but it came at 7.5%. 10 year bond yield shot above 2 for the first time since 2019. Fed indicated they would be looking to hike rates in March by 0.5%. This year will be difficult for investors. Majorly the risks are due to Global Markets. 17800 I feel is the top for Feb series. I have sold many Calls above 17800. One can consider selling call options above 17800. Nifty might Trade between 17300 to

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Right now Dow futures are lower. Asian markets are lower. SGX Nifty is near 17500. Suggesting a positive opening for the day. Today the talk of the town is RBI Policy. RBI policy was originally scheduled yesterday but it got postponed to today  Interestingly , we got weekly expiry today as well. RBI policy is expected to be out by 11 today and the general expectation is rise In repo rate by 20 basis points. Majorly , RBI governer comments about inflation etc will be closely monitored. I somehow feel RBI will increase by 20 basis points and we will have some profit booking today. Market has rallied much before RBI policy so I feel the upside from here in very limited. 2022 seems to be a year of Consolidation with huge Volatility. Upto now Nifty has been moving violently within 16800 to 18600. 50 DMA is at 17620 and a bigger resistance is at 17800. As we went all the way to 17050 from 17800. This isn't a market where you take positions

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Right now Dow futures are higher. Asian markets are higher. SGX Nifty is near 17320. Suggesting a positive opening for the day. Yesterday was a totally volatile session. First half as expected sell off started to accentuate and at one point of time 17000 was on the cards. Market took support near important levels 17050 and shot up from there. It was a huge short covering in the second half yesterday. This V shape recovery and volatility is chopping off the traders. Killing on both sides. Many of my trader friends lost huge amounts yesterday. I basically hedge my positions so I am in minor loss but we know how to manage positions. 17000 for me is a short term low and I don't see Market going there expect in the last week of Feb. Last week of expiys are hugely volatile so anything may happen in the last week. Don't expect 17000 to breach in next 7 trading sessions including today. 17300 CE added good open interest yesterday and 174

U.S Markets closed mixed yesterday. Right now Dow futures are flat. Asian markets are mixed. SGX Nifty is flat  Suggesting a flat opening for the day  Yesterday was a totally unexpected session. Market crashed 300 points and banks crashed more than 2%. Friday was a narrow range day of 17400 to 17500. As soon as we broke 17400 it was a collapse. FII's & DII's both were net sellers yesterday. Combined selling was close to 2600 crores. This could be possibly due to RBI Policy fear. Fear of an interest rate hike by the RBI and rise in crude oil might be the Possible reasons of this sell off . Selling was so severe that Nifty fell almost 400 points Intraday. 17120 was yesterday's low for Nifty all the way from 17520. Without any corresponding negative news. India VIX shot up 8% yesterday. Market returns have turned negative for the year 2022. Nifty might Trade between 17120 to 17400 today. stockmarketadvisory.in

U.S Markets closed higher on Friday. Right now Dow Futures are lower. Asian markets are slightly lower. SGX Nifty is down 60-70 points  We are likely to open gap down near 17400-17420. On Friday Amazon , Pinterest declared great Results. But Dow Jones closed flat and other indices were slightly higher  RBI policy which was due today has been shifted to 8th Feb due to Public holiday today in Maharashtra on the demise of mrs.Lata Mangeshkar Inflation data in U.S is set to be out today. This is causing some jitter in global Markets. SBI & Bank of Baroda have declared great results over the weekend. Both stocks have been trading near 52 week high. On Friday both of them have cooled off. Today's price action would be interesting on Bank Nifty. Right now Market is lacking any trigger to make a significant move. 17400 to 17600 is the range for Nifty and we may chop around here  17800 CE for weekly options added highest open interest. 17500 PE in monthly added huge open int

U.S Markets closed lower Yesterday. Right now Dow Futures are higher  Asian markets are higher  SGX Nifty is up 50 Points. Yesterday was a highly volatile session for our Markets  Markets were resilient for most of the day. Last 30 minutes we had huge sell off in Nifty & Bank Nifty. The most important question is  If yesterday wasn't an expiry would we have such huge sell off yesterday? I think Yesterday's fall was partly due to expiry related issues. Those who sold put options yesterday might have faced trouble and wait for 3.30 for options to go zero. Finally when at 3 pm market isn't in their favour they sell off their Positions. This led to huge crash in last 30 minutes. Facebook declared results yesterday and the stock fell 26% due to poor results  Today Morning Amazon , Snapchat and Pinterest have come up with results and all are above estimates. All the stocks are rallying today. So this is a complete U-turn compared to yesterday. 17500 PE has 2nd hig

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Asian markets are higher. Right now Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures are lower. This is because Facebook has declared results and it's not as per Expectation. Stock is down 20% in the pre open and that's dragging Nasdaq. As Nasdaq is a Technology Index. Last 4 days has been a fantastic rally in the U.S Markets . Last 4 days Dow shot up 1000 points and Nasdaq as well. Nifty has also recovered from 16850 to 17800. This is again a superb rally from lows. I have been saying from 17000 that we have bottomed out at 16850 and budget will cause momentum on the higher side. Same has happened. 17700 PE of today's expiry has the highest open interest. 18000 CE in the monthly options have got highest open interest. Range seems to be between 17700 to 18000 for the day. 17000 PE has the highest open interest in monthly options. Next highest open interest is at 17500 PE. The range right now is 17500 to 18000 for a slightly short term point of

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. S&P 500 VIX crashed 10% again. Last 3 days , everyday U.S Market is closing positive and VIX is crashing 10% on daily basis. VIX crashing indicates stability in the Market. It indicates that from here on , Volatility will reduce. This reduces option premiums on both calls and puts. SGX Nifty is again indicating 150 point gap up today. Yesterday's Budget was a Non -Event for the Markets. Market went up due to Global cues. In between there was a huge panic selling. Which gave an excellent buying opportunity to go long. Budget didn't have anything new nor did it have anything bad for Stock Market. Because it was a Non event option premiums have crashed on both the sides. Yesterday all the option buyers have lost significantly. Option sellers have made returns of their life. From here on , I expect India VIX to crash further below 18 in coming weeks. Market is Bullish and every dip is a buying opportunity. Main event is out and n

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Most importantly , S&P 500 VIX crashed 10%. There was huge Volatility in global markets due to Fed event. Markets remain volatile only when they have topped out or have bottomed out. Right now I feel we have bottomed out at 16850. Asian markets are slightly lower now. Dow futures are lower. SGX Nifty is at 17500. Finally , the most awaited day has come. Budget 2022 is going to be presented today. Expectations are of a good and stable budget. Reasons are the Elections coming up and LIC IPO in March. Govt very well knows if LIC IPO has to go through , Market sentiment has to be good. Without good market spending it would be very difficult for IPO to go through. Market had already fallen a lot before the budget. Although we have rallied in last 2 days but still we have some upside left. Though I feel it's not favourable to chase today's gap up. Today's gap up is a good opportunity to book profits those who carried longs. Bud