Skip to main content

Posts

Trending December Month? (2nd Dec 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher on Friday. 2. Asian markets are higher right now. 3. Right now , Dow futures are lower. 4. U.S VIX is now below 14. 5. U.S Markets are in a crazy bull market of their own. 6. They are hitting fresh highs almost on daily basis  7. Indian Markets are going through some challenging times. 8. We are witnessing a temporary Slowdown that is effecting the economy. 9. GDP number at 5.4% is poor but it's mostly factored in. 10. Markets are forward looking creatures and the growth outlook remains intact for future. 11. Adani issue has also been settled down now without much of a panic. 12. I expect the Thursday low of 23850 on Nifty to be the bottom for December series. 13. I do not expect this level to be broken very easily. 14. Upwards we could test 24350 and if that is crossed we would head towards 24500. 15. It's a buy on Dip market with slow upwards momentum. 16. Not like before where you would get all time highs just in a few weeks  17. Nift
Recent posts

Dreadful Expiry Day & Whats Ahead ? (29th Dec 24)

1. U.S Markets were shut yesterday. 2. Asian markets are higher right now. 3. Right now , Dow futures are higher. 4. U.S VIX is now close to 15 5. Yesterday was a dreadful expiry. 6. I say Dreadful because the Volatility was at its peak. 7. It was a crazy roller coaster trading day. 8. There were 100 points move in Nifty in just minutes. 9. Markets falling is one thing , but markers falling 200-300 points I just minutes is a concern. 10. Yesterday there were many interesting things that I have noticed. 11. FII's have sold for 11500cr Yesterday.  12. This is the highest single day selling of 2024. 13. In spite of Nifty & Bank nifty crashing Yesterday, the broader markets were strong. 14. Mid & Small caps closed in Green. 15. It was clear that FII's wanted to bring Index down by just selling big in a few stocks. 16. Today's trading session is a very important trading session 17. This is because generally the first trading day sets the trend for the whole m

Monthly Expiry Setup (28th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed slightly lower yesterday.  2. Asian markets are higher right now. 3. Right now , Dow futures are higher. 4. U.S VIX is now close to 14. 5. Last 2 trading sessions , Put option premiums of even December series have come down sharply. 6. People are expecting 23200 as a bottom now. 7. Good thing about this Market is its going up slowly after a 1000 point rally. 8. Also testing the patience of many. 9. Markets are in a rising trend but the momentum is slow. 10. Bank Nifty is much strong and the reason is HDFC Bank. 11. HDFC Bank that was facing stiff resistance at 1800 levels since last 2 years has finally closed above 1800. 12. It has given a smooth breakout. 13. Hdfc & ICICI Bank both look strong so Bank Nifty is likely to lead the rally. 14. FII's have stopped selling. 15. They haven't began buying aggressively yet 16. FII's are momentum traders. 17. Once they start selling they keep selling for many days. 18. Similar is with buying. 19.

Buy on Dip? (27th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Asian markets are higher right now. 3. Right now , Dow futures are higher. 4. U.S VIX is now below 14. 5. VIX below 14 indicates low Volatility and less fear in the markets. 6. Gift Nifty is indicating a gap up of 20-30 points. 7. Tomorrow we have the monthly expiry. 8. Today is a day before the expiry. 9. Many option sellers would build positions today. 10. Markets have been in a strong grip since Friday. 11. FII's have also began to buy. 12. Confidence is coming back in the markets. 13. Markets would go up slowly and steadily. 14. It won't be like previous times where recovery would happen in weeks. 15. Once the market gets the confirmation that on ground consumption has been good then we would rally. 16. Right now , markets in a range of 24000 to 24500. 17. It's much likely that Nifty would expiry here itself. 18. On the other hand,  Bank Nifty is quite strong. 19. It's just 3-4% away from its ATH 20. Nifty migh

Will the Gap up Sustain? (25th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher on Friday. 2. Asian markets are higher right now. 3. Right now , Dow futures are higher. 4. U.S VIX crashed 10% on Friday. 5. Gift Nifty is indicating a gap up of 300-350 points. 6. If we go as per Gift Nifty , we are likely to open close to 24200. 7. This is some phenomenal recovery 8. The Nifty low on Friday was 23250 and now we are about to open near 24250. 9. This is some insane Volatility and a strong reversal of its kind. 10. It's a thousand points reversal in just 1 trading session. 11. That's why I always advice to be ready as one never knows when does the opportunity unfold. 12. 24500 according to me is the key level for Nifty. 13. If this is crossed , I will fully turn Bullish. 14. Right now the view is slightly Bullish. 15. Maharashtra elections would change the sentiment for the markets as now we have a big political mandate from the Ruling Party. 16. FII selling according to what I know was weak results and better opportunit

Will we close above 23500 today? (19th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Asian markets are higher right now. 3. Right now , Dow futures are higher. 4. U.S VIX crashed 4% Yesterday.  5. Gift Nifty is indicating a gap up of 40-50 points. 6. The next big trigger for our Markets is the State Elections.  7. It has the capability to move the markets by 2-3% 8. Markets have been stable for last 2-3 trading sessions. 9. Largecap stocks also look like they are stabilizing right now. 10. Reliance seems to have made a short term bottom near 1250. 11. I have sold 1200 PE of Reliance for November expiry. 12. Will do adjustments only if it closes below 1250. 13. Otherwise will let the profits run. 14. Yesterday's low of 23350 around is now a good support to work with. 15. Tomorrow is a local holiday due to voting. 16. As Markets are oversold , traders wouldn't like to carry their shorts before a big event. 17. Expect some short covering rally in the 2nd half today. 18. This is a sell on rally Market currentl

Will we hold 200 DMA ? (18th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed lower on Friday. 2. Asian markets are mixed right now. 3. There was some profit booking after a bug rally in U.S Markets. 4. U.S VIX crossed 15 on Friday. 5. Gift Nifty is indicating a gap down of 80-100 points. 6. The next big trigger for our Markets is the Maharashtra state elections. 7. It has the capability to move the markets by 2-3% 8. Over the weekend there were reports floating around that CLSA has increased India allocation. 9. Goldman Sachs has also in an interview said they are Bullish on India. 10. The issue here is we should not get overexcited immediately.  11. They might keep selling for a while even after such statements. 12. Focus on price action and levels to decide trading strategies. 13. Do not decide based on such statements. 14. Majority of the largecaps are already down 20-30% from the peak  15. All these are providing a good opportunity to enter. 16. A reversal is due anytime in the markets as we are at highly oversold levels. 1