Skip to main content

Pre - Market Analysis (23rd December 2022)

  1. U.S Markets closed lower yesterday. 
  2. Asian markets are mostly lower.
  3. Dow futures are slightly higher right now.
  4. SGX Nifty is down 100-120 Points.
  5. Market texture has turned to Highly bearish now.
  6. Any gap up or short covering rally has been sold into aggressively.
  7. India VIX a week ago was at 13 & yesterday it went above 16.
  8. This indicates that the Volatility has also been rising.
  9. As the Volatility rises , so does the option premiums.
  10. Last expiry week is generally highly Volatile & the Gamma effect is also at its peak.
  11. This is due to many factors such as roll overs , expiration of all the contracts etc.
  12. Yesterday after market hours when I checked the data came another shock.
  13. FII's & DII's both were net buyers yesterday. 
  14. They have bought yesterday for combined 2000 crore plus.
  15. In spite of positive buy data markets closed lower yesterday. 
  16. 18000 PE has the highest open interest in monthly options.
  17. Today , 18000 is likely to be tested.
  18. If we break 18000 then we would be heading towards 17800.
  19. 18000 is the final hope for longs if anybody is still long on the markets.
  20. Below 18k , markets would continue to slide further.
  21. It's advisable not to carry positions over the weekend.
  22. Nifty might trade between 17900 to 18200 today.
  23. stockmarketadvisory.in

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Pre - Budget Analysis (1st Feb 2022)

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Most importantly , S&P 500 VIX crashed 10%. There was huge Volatility in global markets due to Fed event. Markets remain volatile only when they have topped out or have bottomed out. Right now I feel we have bottomed out at 16850. Asian markets are slightly lower now. Dow futures are lower. SGX Nifty is at 17500. Finally , the most awaited day has come. Budget 2022 is going to be presented today. Expectations are of a good and stable budget. Reasons are the Elections coming up and LIC IPO in March. Govt very well knows if LIC IPO has to go through , Market sentiment has to be good. Without good market spending it would be very difficult for IPO to go through. Market had already fallen a lot before the budget. Although we have rallied in last 2 days but still we have some upside left. Though I feel it's not favourable to chase today's gap up. Today's gap up is a good opportunity to book profits those who carried longs. Bud
Post a Comment
Read more

Pre - Market Analysis (17th Feb 2022)

U.S Markets closed flat yesterday. Right now Dow futures are slightly lower. Asian markets are slightly higher. SGX Nifty is near 17380. Suggesting a flat start for the day. Yesterday was a heavy Volatile session. Markets have moved all over the place yesterday. At one point of time Nifty rallied and at one point of time we were ready to cross 17500. Then news of Russia came that Russia has not fully taken back their military troops. This led to a drastic fall in the last 2 hours. Nifty crashed all the way to 17300. India VIX came to positive. U.S Markets at one point of time were down quite significantly yesterday. But later during the day they have recovered most of their losses. Most importantly , U.S VIX fell 5% yesterday. Here as well we can hope markets to stabilize and VIX to collapse. Premiums are quite attractive considering only 6.days left for expiry  1000 points away put options are also trading at 20-25 rs premium. These put option buyers you know are crazy peo
2 comments
Read more

Pre- Market Analysis (5th May 2022)

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Asian markets are higher. SGX nifty is up 150 points. Yesterday was a very tricky and unexpected session. As soon as Market opened there was a continuous selling. Market was falling left , right and center without taking any support. I was wondering why is the Market going against the global cues Then we got the news about RBI Governer press conference. So some informed people already knew about this rate hike. Hence there was a sudden selling in the markets. RBI hiked repo rate by 40 basis points and Cash Reverse ratio by 50 basis points. Repo rate is the rate at which banks borrow money from RBI. When the rate is increased banks borrow money at higher cost and in turn loans also get costlier. This slows down the growth and liquidity in the Market temporarily. Cash reserve ratio is the interest free deposit money which banks have to keep with RBI. RBI uses that money without having to pay any interest on it. Increasing CRR means RBI is
Post a Comment
Read more