- U.S Markets closed significantly higher yesterday.
- Right now Dow futures are lower.
- SGX nifty is lower.
- Yesterday it was a pleasant surprise for the Bulls.
- Nifty was trading violently between 15200 and 15400.
- This range held upto Friday and Monday.
- Yesterday as soon as this range got broken on the higher side , there was a big rally.
- The rally was so severe that Nifty even tested 15700.
- More than 400 points short covering rally.
- In Bear market the rallies are even more fast & furious.
- These rallies do not last long and get punctured eventually.
- Infosys ADR was up 5% Yesterday.
- Yesterday there was big addition of Open interest in Put options.
- There was big unwinding in Call options.
- What next from here is the big question.
- Now the range has shifted to 15400 & 15700.
- Why 15400 because Nifty broke out of 2 days consolidation from this level.
- Why 15700 because Nifty faced resistance near this zone yesterday.
- This is a market where you shouldn't pre-empt much and just follow what it shows.
- We are not out of the Woods yet and such short covering Rallies should provide an opportunity to sell in longer term.
- March 2020 the Bull Market started and lasted till October 2021.
- It's about 18 months.
- My Experience shows Bear markets last a bit longer than Bull Markets.
- So time to stay cautious.
- Nifty might Trade between 15400 to 15700 today.
- stockmarketadvisory.in
U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Asian markets are higher. SGX nifty is up 150 points. Yesterday was a very tricky and unexpected session. As soon as Market opened there was a continuous selling. Market was falling left , right and center without taking any support. I was wondering why is the Market going against the global cues Then we got the news about RBI Governer press conference. So some informed people already knew about this rate hike. Hence there was a sudden selling in the markets. RBI hiked repo rate by 40 basis points and Cash Reverse ratio by 50 basis points. Repo rate is the rate at which banks borrow money from RBI. When the rate is increased banks borrow money at higher cost and in turn loans also get costlier. This slows down the growth and liquidity in the Market temporarily. Cash reserve ratio is the interest free deposit money which banks have to keep with RBI. RBI uses that money without having to pay any interest on it. Increasing CRR means RBI is
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