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Pre - Market Analysis (10th May 2021)

  1. On Friday, US jobs data came much lower than expected.
  2. Inspite of this Negative news U.S Markets were higher on Friday.
  3. That's because Govt would bring in more Stimulus and not increase the interest rates in near future.
  4. SGX Nifty is Currently trading near 14990.
  5. Asian Market's have opened in flat zone as of now.
  6. In the past whenever we crossed 15k we witnessed selling pressure 
  7. Selling was very severe.
  8. We have been trading in the range of 14200 to 15000.
  9. Now we might expand upto 15200 on Nifty.
  10. One should apply caution when Nifty is above 15k.
  11. Considering the Block deals etc FII's have turned net buyers in the Market.
  12. We are in a ranging Market so the best way to approach the same is to trade based on the range.
  13. Big trending moves are less likely to happen.
  14. Nifty is 3% away from record highs whereas Bank Nifty is 10% away from record highs.
  15. Bank Nifty might witness some catch up rally here.
  16. Metals are shining from last 2 Months.
  17. All the Metal Stocks have doubled and the rally will continue for some time now.
  18. Iron Ore Futures is up 10% in Pre open.
  19. This will keep the rally going.
  20. Right now we are following global Markets and Indian Market's as they are not as developed to U.S Economy always Underperforms in the long run.
  21. On the Contrary when U.S Markets fall we fall at much faster pace.
  22. Do not Pre -empt a breakout etc unless you get a clear signal of the same.
  23. Trade the range and use Mean Reversion view.
  24. Nifty might Trade between 14860 to 15060 today.


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Pre- Market Analysis (5th May 2022)

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Asian markets are higher. SGX nifty is up 150 points. Yesterday was a very tricky and unexpected session. As soon as Market opened there was a continuous selling. Market was falling left , right and center without taking any support. I was wondering why is the Market going against the global cues Then we got the news about RBI Governer press conference. So some informed people already knew about this rate hike. Hence there was a sudden selling in the markets. RBI hiked repo rate by 40 basis points and Cash Reverse ratio by 50 basis points. Repo rate is the rate at which banks borrow money from RBI. When the rate is increased banks borrow money at higher cost and in turn loans also get costlier. This slows down the growth and liquidity in the Market temporarily. Cash reserve ratio is the interest free deposit money which banks have to keep with RBI. RBI uses that money without having to pay any interest on it. Increasing CRR means RBI is

Pre - Market Analysis (18th April 2022)

U.S Markets closed lower on Thursday. Asian markets are all lower. Dow futures are lower right now. SGX Nifty is down 250 points. Indicating a huge gap down at the open. Reason is the Global markets underperformance plus not so good corporate results. Infosys has disappointed and missed earnings by street estimates. Infy ADR was down 9% in last 2 trading sessions in U.S Hdfc bank also missed earnings but asset quality has been improved. Today we can expect huge gap down openimg in infy. Hdfc bank has limited downside left because it has already fallen a lot after the merger news. 17150-17200 is a strong support on Nifty and this is where 200 DMA kicks in. If you are a Bull this is a large support area. Markets are oversold and this offers a good opportunity to go long. Nect support comes in at 17k. If global markets keep declining then no support would work. Bank Nifty 200 DMA kicks in at 36800. Bank Nifty looks much stronger than Nifty currently as IT isn't included in

Pre - Market Analysis (11th April 2022)

U.S Markets closed mixed on Friday. Dow Jones closed slightly higher. S&P 500 was flat and Nasdaq is very weak. Right now , Dow futures are lower. SGX Nifty is down 100 points. So we are in for a gap down opening today. Friday was a quite interesting day. As expected , RBI policy was a status quo. Nifty broke Thursday low of 17640 and traded below for quite some time. And then for a short squeeze. All the shorts were trapped and we had a big rally. Most importantly , India VIX was down 7% on Friday. I expect markets to consolidate between 17600 to 18100 for a while. I do not see a reason to be excessively bearish now. Markets went from 17700 to 18100 because of hdfc twins. And then crashed to 17600 because of these both stocks. These both stocks have given up all of their gains and are back to Pre merger levels. There is very limited downside now for these stocks and expecting these stocks to bottom out soon 17500 to 17600 is a strong buy zone on Nifty. Also earnings se