Skip to main content

Pre - Market Analysis (30th June 2020)

  1. U.S Markets closed Positive Yesterday.
  2. Asian Markets are also Mixed with a Positive Bias.
  3. SGX Nifty is up 50 Points.
  4. We are in a Market with no follow through.
  5. This is a Swinging Market.
  6. Swinging Market is one in which Market goes to the top end of range or bottom end of the Range.
  7. People Start Prediciting a big Breakout or Breakdown but Market reverses immediately.
  8. This is a Market to trade on reversals.
  9. This is not a Market to trade for follow Through.
  10. PM Modi to Address the Nation at 4 pm today.
  11. When MODIJI comes at 8 pm , there is a big news.
  12. When MODIJI comes at Morning there is a bit of Encouragement speech from their side.
  13. Now the time is 4 pm , my Gut feeling is MODIJI would be speaking about Corona Virus & Lockdown.
  14. But most importantly , speaking about Boycotting China.
  15. Large Number of Youths use China Apps so the Gut feeling is a talk on that front.
  16. FII's were net sellers Yesterday but DII's are supporting our Markets.
  17. DII's were net Buyers Yesterday.
  18. 10200 to 10500 is the Range in which Nifty is Trading for quite some time now.
  19. Nifty was Unable to 10200 and it has tested this level twice now.
  20. Same Applies for the level of 10500.
  21. I will take Directional bets once any of this gets breached .
  22. Until then the idea is to be a Mean Reversion Trader.
  23. Markets have been Consolidating within this Range now for more than a week.
  24. Expecting some kind of range Expansion soon.
  25. This Market is a strong market and rewarding Contra Traders.
  26. Nifty & Bank Nifty Futures both Trading at a very Significant Discount.
  27. If follow through comes then there will be a room for big Short Covering also.
  28. Banking Stocks might Outperform today as HDFC Bank is coming up with fund raising and looking strong.
  29. Nifty might Trade between 10240 to 10380.


Popular posts from this blog

Bull Call Spread Options Strategy ( With Practical Example)

I Strongly believe , to be Successful in Stock Markets you Require two things : 1) Edge 2) Hedge Edge means having your own Trading System , following your own consensus & Conviction. Hedge is like an Insurance Policy , it will protect you from losing big and also maximise your earning potential over time without Destruction of your Capital. I will be Sharing one of the Hedging Strategy here. Example : Nifty on Friday (5th June) has closed around 10150. You are Bullish for this Weekly Expiry and what you to do is buy a Call Option of 10200 which is Trading around ₹120. Buying or selling naked Options involves high risk as its equal to betting. If you win you win Big or else you lose Everything. So buying naked Options isnt my Cup of Tea. What will I do in this Scenario? I would buy a 10200 CE (11th June Expiry ) at ₹120 and would sell a 10300 CE (11th June Expiry) at ₹80 to manage my risk. Now there are 3 Situations which can happen : 1) Nifty continues to rise: The 102

Pre - Budget Analysis (1st Feb 2022)

U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. Most importantly , S&P 500 VIX crashed 10%. There was huge Volatility in global markets due to Fed event. Markets remain volatile only when they have topped out or have bottomed out. Right now I feel we have bottomed out at 16850. Asian markets are slightly lower now. Dow futures are lower. SGX Nifty is at 17500. Finally , the most awaited day has come. Budget 2022 is going to be presented today. Expectations are of a good and stable budget. Reasons are the Elections coming up and LIC IPO in March. Govt very well knows if LIC IPO has to go through , Market sentiment has to be good. Without good market spending it would be very difficult for IPO to go through. Market had already fallen a lot before the budget. Although we have rallied in last 2 days but still we have some upside left. Though I feel it's not favourable to chase today's gap up. Today's gap up is a good opportunity to book profits those who carried longs. Bud

Pre - Market Analysis (17th Feb 2022)

U.S Markets closed flat yesterday. Right now Dow futures are slightly lower. Asian markets are slightly higher. SGX Nifty is near 17380. Suggesting a flat start for the day. Yesterday was a heavy Volatile session. Markets have moved all over the place yesterday. At one point of time Nifty rallied and at one point of time we were ready to cross 17500. Then news of Russia came that Russia has not fully taken back their military troops. This led to a drastic fall in the last 2 hours. Nifty crashed all the way to 17300. India VIX came to positive. U.S Markets at one point of time were down quite significantly yesterday. But later during the day they have recovered most of their losses. Most importantly , U.S VIX fell 5% yesterday. Here as well we can hope markets to stabilize and VIX to collapse. Premiums are quite attractive considering only 6.days left for expiry  1000 points away put options are also trading at 20-25 rs premium. These put option buyers you know are crazy peo