To Trade or Not to Trade : The Most Important Question

In trading activity alone does not make money, the right activity at the right time is what makes money. Many times the right thing, is to do nothing.
In your actual trading you have to do four things very well to make money.
You have to know when to get in.
Only enter trades that have the highest probability of success and the best risk/reward ratio. Buy the best monster stocks during up trends. Short the fallen leaders when the game changes and they are under the 50 day. Buy the monster stocks at the gift of the 200 day moving average. Short down trending junk stocks. Go where the trends are.
You have to know when to get out.
When your trade reverses through a key support get out. When the market trend changes get out of your long positions. When your stop loss is hit, get out. When the stock reverses and hits your trailing stop, get out.
You have to know when to stay in.
If you enter a stock with the potential to trend let it run as far as it will go. Do not set a target, just trail your winner with a stop. Let the stock tell you when it is done running. Do not cut your winners short.
And most importantly you have to know when to stay out.
If you do not know what to do, do nothing. If the charts confuse you, stay out. If the volatility is escalating and you are losing in every trade, stay out. If you are a trend trader and you see no potential trends, stay out. If you want to go long but all the stocks you want are going down, stay out.

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Pre - Market Analysis (30th Jan 2022)

1. U.S Markets closed higher on Friday. 2. Right now , dow futures are lower. 3. Asian markets are mixed. 4. SGX Nifty is up 30-50 Points. 5. There's no point discussing Global markets today. 6. As we are dealing with our own local issues as of now. 7. The talk of the town is Adani Group. 8. Every stock Market participant during last 2 days have not spent as much time with their wife /gf /husband /bf as they have spent on researching Adani stocks. 9. They shouldn't have wasted so much time in research and should've spent their time with loved ones. 10. As Ultimately my Pre Market report would clear all. 11. Now , the Adani stock price has gone below the FPO price. 12. FPO price is in the range of 3100-3200 and stock price is around 2800 13. Who will subscribe to FPO when they can buy shares much cheaper from the Market? 14. Also over the weekend Adani has come up with a 450 page report addressing one by one the allegations made by Hindenberg. 15. I haven't

Pre - Market Analysis (2nd Feb 2022)

1 U.S Markets closed lower Yesterday. 2. Right now , dow futures are lower. 3. Asian markets are mixed. 4. SGX Nifty is down 150 Points. 5. Yesterday was the Fed event in U.S 6. It was expected that they would raise rates by 25 basis points. 7. The same happened yesterday and in spite of that Markets crashed yesterday. 8. Yesterday was a highly Volatile day. 9. Markets were all over the place yesterday. 10. Before the budget , markets were higher. 11. During the budget , markets were flat. 12. After 1 pm markets were at the peak of Volatility. 13. Bank Nifty was down 1000 points by 2.45 pm. 14. In next 30 minutes it recovered all of its losses. 15. The budget was neither good nor bad. 16. The income tax slabs have been revised but also the insurance benefit has gone. 17. All the Insurance companies crashed yesterday. 18. This is a structural change coming out of budget now. 19. Adani stocks crashed yesterday. 20. So clearly there was valuation over hang which is gettin

Nifty hits 17k (15th March 2023)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday. 2. Right now , U.S Futures are lower. 3. SGX Nifty is up 80-100 points. 4. Asian markets are mixed. 5. There has been 4 days of relentless selling in our Markets 6. The reason doesn't seem to be Banking collapse in United States. 7. U.S Markets have settled after a knee- jerk reaction. 8. Our Markets haven't settled yet. 9. This isn't a selling like the previous ones. 10. Previously FII's used to target few nifty stocks 11. Used to sell them and create panic. 12. This selling is now an all around selling. 13. Broader Markets have been bleeding extensively. 14. There is pain all around. 15. Now 17300 becomes a very important resistance. 16. Nifty might retest 17300 and then break 17k. 17. Markets won't collapse in a hiff. 18. There would be intermittent rallies in between to take weak shorts out. 19. FII's have now been selling aggressively. 20. Nifty might trade between 17000 to 17300 today. 21. stockmarke

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